Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.945392 1.104430 1.275569 1.472679 1.692668 1.929874 2.204206
2025-06-01 0.670325 0.888570 1.145910 1.467977 1.856297 2.305395 2.859794
2025-06-08 0.485773 0.726762 1.036160 1.453019 1.989759 2.647101 3.501496
2025-06-15 0.389251 0.648648 1.007186 1.520834 2.217992 3.110680 4.317114
2025-06-22 0.308020 0.570218 0.958985 1.548195 2.386276 3.501608 5.059576
2025-06-29 0.235255 0.485602 0.884034 1.521924 2.470378 3.778390 5.661060
2025-07-06 0.190503 0.434715 0.848905 1.544394 2.618048 4.143133 6.392522
2025-07-13 0.155237 0.391202 0.816750 1.563950 2.757770 4.499207 7.123908
2025-07-20 0.128557 0.356841 0.793278 1.591892 2.908154 4.874138 7.894184
2025-07-27 0.105510 0.323459 0.765258 1.606937 3.036084 5.218795 8.631744
2025-08-03 0.080994 0.279081 0.708450 1.563977 3.064536 5.411825 9.151828
2025-08-10 0.065265 0.250660 0.677565 1.562327 3.158056 5.705349 9.828532
2025-08-17 0.048753 0.214606 0.625710 1.518351 3.181222 5.897947 10.374513
2025-08-24 0.038914 0.193828 0.603418 1.528729 3.299597 6.248430 11.178501
2025-08-31 0.030014 0.171704 0.573459 1.519779 3.382095 6.544132 11.908820
2025-09-07 0.026274 0.166184 0.582865 1.592872 3.618309 7.102279 13.070920
2025-09-14 0.021476 0.153943 0.572618 1.622484 3.774671 7.532716 14.043233
2025-09-21 0.015918 0.134535 0.538762 1.595766 3.821224 7.777944 14.724478
2025-09-28 0.012785 0.124222 0.527959 1.619305 3.965380 8.194950 15.696481
2025-10-05 0.010172 0.114470 0.516532 1.639693 4.103737 8.606166 16.670181
2025-10-12 0.008195 0.106635 0.509198 1.668721 4.260465 9.054594 17.717425
2025-10-19 0.006398 0.097984 0.497089 1.684344 4.390071 9.458624 18.700818
2025-10-26 0.004337 0.084048 0.462975 1.639789 4.390953 9.629923 19.295481